Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021
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Author / Creator
Lopez, Velma K. , Cramer, Estee Y. , Pagano, Robert , Drake, John M. , O’Dea, Eamon B. , Adee, Madeline , Ayer, Turgay , Chhatwal, Jagpreet , Dalgic, Ozden O. , Ladd, Mary A. , Linas, Benjamin P. , Mueller, Peter P. , Xiao, Jade , Bracher, Johannes , Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J. , Gerding, Aaron , Gneiting, Tilmann , Huang, Yuxin , Jayawardena, Dasuni , Kanji, Abdul H. , Le, Khoa , Mühlemann, Anja , Niemi, Jarad , Ray, Evan L. , Stark, Ariane , Wang, Yijin , Wattanachit, Nutcha , Zorn, Martha W. , Pei, Sen , Shaman, Jeffrey , Yamana, Teresa K. , Tarasewicz, Samuel R. , Wilson, Daniel J. , Baccam, Sid , Gurung, Heidi , Stage, Steve , Suchoski, Brad , Gao, Lei , Gu, Zhiling , Kim, Myungjin , Li, Xinyi , Wang, Guannan , Wang, Lily , Wang, Yueying , Yu, Shan , Gardner, Lauren , Jindal, Sonia , Marshall, Maximilian , Nixon, Kristen , Dent, Juan , Hill, Alison L. , Kaminsky, Joshua , Lee, Elizabeth C. , Lemaitre, Joseph C. , Lessler, Justin , Smith, Claire P. , Truelove, Shaun , Kinsey, Matt , Mullany, Luke C. , Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin , Shin, Lauren , Tallaksen, Katharine , Wilson, Shelby , Karlen, Dean , Castro, Lauren , Fairchild, Geoffrey , Michaud, Isaac , Osthus, Dave , Bian, Jiang , Cao, Wei , Gao, Zhifeng , Lavista Ferres, Juan , Li, Chaozhuo , Liu, Tie-Yan , Xie, Xing , Zhang, Shun , Zheng, Shun , Chinazzi, Matteo , Davis, Jessica T. , Mu, Kunpeng , Pastore y Piontti, Ana , Vespignani, Alessandro , Xiong, Xinyue , Walraven, Robert , Chen, Jinghui , Gu, Quanquan , Wang, Lingxiao , Xu, Pan , Zhang, Weitong , Zou, Difan , Gibson, Graham Casey , Sheldon, Daniel , Srivastava, Ajitesh , Adiga, Aniruddha , Hurt, Benjamin , Kaur, Gursharn , Lewis, Bryan , Marathe, Madhav , Peddireddy, Akhil Sai and Porebski, Przemyslaw
Publisher
United States: Public Library of Science
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Language
English
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Publisher
United States: Public Library of Science
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Scope and Contents
Contents
During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and government entities led by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub (
https://covid19forecasthub.org
). We evaluated approximately 9.7 million forecasts of weekly state-level COVID-19 cases for predictions 1–4 weeks into the future submitted by 24 teams from August 2020 to December 2021. We assessed coverage of central prediction intervals and weighted interval scores (WIS), adjusting for missing forecasts relative to a baseline forecast,...
Alternative Titles
Full title
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021
Authors, Artists and Contributors
Author / Creator
Cramer, Estee Y.
Pagano, Robert
Drake, John M.
O’Dea, Eamon B.
Adee, Madeline
Ayer, Turgay
Chhatwal, Jagpreet
Dalgic, Ozden O.
Ladd, Mary A.
Linas, Benjamin P.
Mueller, Peter P.
Xiao, Jade
Bracher, Johannes
Castro Rivadeneira, Alvaro J.
Gerding, Aaron
Gneiting, Tilmann
Huang, Yuxin
Jayawardena, Dasuni
Kanji, Abdul H.
Le, Khoa
Mühlemann, Anja
Niemi, Jarad
Ray, Evan L.
Stark, Ariane
Wang, Yijin
Wattanachit, Nutcha
Zorn, Martha W.
Pei, Sen
Shaman, Jeffrey
Yamana, Teresa K.
Tarasewicz, Samuel R.
Wilson, Daniel J.
Baccam, Sid
Gurung, Heidi
Stage, Steve
Suchoski, Brad
Gao, Lei
Gu, Zhiling
Kim, Myungjin
Li, Xinyi
Wang, Guannan
Wang, Lily
Wang, Yueying
Yu, Shan
Gardner, Lauren
Jindal, Sonia
Marshall, Maximilian
Nixon, Kristen
Dent, Juan
Hill, Alison L.
Kaminsky, Joshua
Lee, Elizabeth C.
Lemaitre, Joseph C.
Lessler, Justin
Smith, Claire P.
Truelove, Shaun
Kinsey, Matt
Mullany, Luke C.
Rainwater-Lovett, Kaitlin
Shin, Lauren
Tallaksen, Katharine
Wilson, Shelby
Karlen, Dean
Castro, Lauren
Fairchild, Geoffrey
Michaud, Isaac
Osthus, Dave
Bian, Jiang
Cao, Wei
Gao, Zhifeng
Lavista Ferres, Juan
Li, Chaozhuo
Liu, Tie-Yan
Xie, Xing
Zhang, Shun
Zheng, Shun
Chinazzi, Matteo
Davis, Jessica T.
Mu, Kunpeng
Pastore y Piontti, Ana
Vespignani, Alessandro
Xiong, Xinyue
Walraven, Robert
Chen, Jinghui
Gu, Quanquan
Wang, Lingxiao
Xu, Pan
Zhang, Weitong
Zou, Difan
Gibson, Graham Casey
Sheldon, Daniel
Srivastava, Ajitesh
Adiga, Aniruddha
Hurt, Benjamin
Kaur, Gursharn
Lewis, Bryan
Marathe, Madhav
Peddireddy, Akhil Sai
Porebski, Przemyslaw
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Primary Identifiers
Record Identifier
TN_cdi_plos_journals_3069179632
Permalink
https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/TN_cdi_plos_journals_3069179632
Other Identifiers
ISSN
1553-7358,1553-734X
E-ISSN
1553-7358
DOI
10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011200