Simulation and analysis of land use scenarios in Guangzhou based on the PLUS model and traffic plann...
Simulation and analysis of land use scenarios in Guangzhou based on the PLUS model and traffic planning scenario
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Author / Creator
Lin Suli and Wang, Feng
Publisher
Tianjin: Journal of Agricultural Resources and Environment (JARE)
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Language
Chinese
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Tianjin: Journal of Agricultural Resources and Environment (JARE)
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Contents
为保障区域的可持续发展，对其未来的土地利用情景进行模拟预测十分必要。本研究采用马尔科夫链预测2030年各类用地总量，按照《广州市交通运输“十四五”规划》的设想，利用PLUS模型设置自然发展情景和交通规划情景，模拟广州市2030年的土地利用格局，并借助土地利用转移矩阵和景观指数分析两种情景下的地类转换特征和景观格局特征。结果表明：交通规划对人造地表的影响较大，在交通线路3 km范围内，交通规划情景下人造地表的面积比自然发展情景增加22.06 km2，主要由耕地和林地转移而来。两种情景下人造地表均以“外延式”发展为主，自然发展情景下人造地表在各个区域的蔓延速度相对一致，交通规划情景则集中于中心城区外围分布，在远离市中心地区的分布概率较低；相比于自然发展情景，交通规划情景中斑块的优势度更高，斑块形...
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Full title
Simulation and analysis of land use scenarios in Guangzhou based on the PLUS model and traffic planning scenario
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Record Identifier
TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2820324503
Permalink
https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2820324503
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ISSN
2095-6819
E-ISSN
2095-6819
DOI
10.13254/j.jare.2022.0352
