Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy...
Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy transition
About this item
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Publisher
Washington: National Academy of Sciences
Journal title
Language
English
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Publisher
Washington: National Academy of Sciences
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Scope and Contents
Contents
We conduct a systematic comparison of technology cost forecasts produced by expert elicitation methods and model-based methods. Our focus is on energy technologies due to their importance for energy and climate policy. We assess the performance of several forecasting methods by generating probabilistic technology cost forecasts rooted at various ye...
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Full title
Comparing expert elicitation and model-based probabilistic technology cost forecasts for the energy transition
Authors, Artists and Contributors
Author / Creator
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Primary Identifiers
Record Identifier
TN_cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_8271727
Permalink
https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/TN_cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_8271727
Other Identifiers
ISSN
0027-8424
E-ISSN
1091-6490
DOI
10.1073/pnas.1917165118
