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Select record 21
ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
How to Measure the Controllability of an Infectious Disease?
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V.
Publisher:American Physical Society
Journal title:Physical review. X, 2024-09, Vol.14 (3), p.031041, Article 031041
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Adaptive Estimation for Epidemic Renewal and Phylogenetic Skyline Models
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V. ; Donnelly, Christl A.
Publisher:England: Oxford University Press
Journal title:Systematic biology, 2020-11, Vol.69 (6), p.1163-1179
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V. ; Thompson, Robin N. ; Donnelly, Christl A.
Publisher:England: Oxford University Press
Journal title:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, Statistics in society, 2022-11, Vol.185 (Supplement_1), p.S5-S15
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Robust Design for Coalescent Model Inference
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V. ; Pybus, Oliver G.
Publisher:England: Oxford University Press
Journal title:Systematic biology, 2019-09, Vol.68 (5), p.730-743
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies
Author / Creator:Thompson, Robin N ; Hollingsworth, T Déirdre ; Isham, Valerie ; Arribas-Bel, Daniel ; Ashby, Ben ; Britton, Tom ; Challenor, Peter ; Chappell, Lauren H K ; Clapham, Hannah ; Cunniffe, Nik J ; Dawid, A Philip ; Donnelly, Christl A ; Eggo, Rosalind M ; Funk, Sebastian ; Gilbert, Nigel ; Glendinning, Paul ; Gog, Julia R ; Hart, William S ; Heesterbeek, Hans ; House, Thomas ; Keeling, Matt ; Kiss, István Z ; Kretzschmar, Mirjam E ; Lloyd, Alun L ; McBryde, Emma S ; McCaw, James M ; McKinley, Trevelyan J ; Miller, Joel C ; Morris, Martina ; O'Neill, Philip D ; Parag, Kris V ; Pearson, Carl A B ; Pellis, Lorenzo ; Pulliam, Juliet R C ; Ross, Joshua V ; Tomba, Gianpaolo Scalia ; Silverman, Bernard W ; Struchiner, Claudio J ; Tildesley, Michael J ; Trapman, Pieter ; Webb, Cerian R ; Mollison, Denis ; Restif, Olivier
Publisher:England: The Royal Society
Journal title:Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences, 2020-08, Vol.287 (1932), p.20201405
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil
Author / Creator:de Souza, William Marciel ; Buss, Lewis Fletcher ; Candido, Darlan da Silva ; Carrera, Jean-Paul ; Li, Sabrina ; Zarebski, Alexander E. ; Pereira, Rafael Henrique Moraes ; Prete, Carlos A. ; de Souza-Santos, Andreza Aruska ; Parag, Kris V. ; Belotti, Maria Carolina T. D. ; Vincenti-Gonzalez, Maria F. ; Messina, Janey ; da Silva Sales, Flavia Cristina ; Andrade, Pamela dos Santos ; Nascimento, Vítor Heloiz ; Ghilardi, Fabio ; Abade, Leandro ; Gutierrez, Bernardo ; Kraemer, Moritz U. G. ; Braga, Carlos K. V. ; Aguiar, Renato Santana ; Alexander, Neal ; Mayaud, Philippe ; Brady, Oliver J. ; Marcilio, Izabel ; Gouveia, Nelson ; Li, Guangdi ; Tami, Adriana ; de Oliveira, Silvano Barbosa ; Porto, Victor Bertollo Gomes ; Ganem, Fabiana ; de Almeida, Walquiria Aparecida Ferreira ; Fantinato, Francieli Fontana Sutile Tardetti ; Macário, Eduardo Marques ; de Oliveira, Wanderson Kleber ; Nogueira, Mauricio L. ; Pybus, Oliver G. ; Wu, Chieh-Hsi ; Croda, Julio ; Sabino, Ester C. ; Faria, Nuno Rodrigues
Publisher:London: Nature Publishing Group UK
Journal title:Nature human behaviour, 2020-08, Vol.4 (8), p.856-865
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Authors’ reply to the discussion of ‘Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?’ by Parag et al. in Session 1 of the Royal Statistical Society’s Special Topic Meeting on COV...
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V. ; Thompson, Robin N. ; Donnelly, Christl A.
Publisher:Oxford: Oxford University Press
Journal title:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, Statistics in society, 2022-11, Vol.185 (Supplement_1), p.S55-S60
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Comparative micro-epidemiology of pathogenic avian influenza virus outbreaks in a wild bird population
Author / Creator:Hill, Sarah C ; Hansen, Rowena ; Watson, Samantha ; Coward, Vivien ; Russell, Christine ; Cooper, Jayne ; Essen, Steve ; Everest, Holly ; Parag, Kris V ; Fiddaman, Steven ; Reid, Scott ; Lewis, Nicola ; Brookes, Sharon M ; Smith, Adrian L ; Sheldon, Ben ; Perrins, Christopher M ; Brown, Ian H ; Pybus, Oliver G
Publisher:England: The Royal Society
Journal title:Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological sciences, 2019-06, Vol.374 (1775), p.20180259
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China
Author / Creator:Thompson, Hayley A ; Imai, Natsuko ; Dighe, Amy ; Ainslie, Kylie E C ; Baguelin, Marc ; Bhatia, Sangeeta ; Bhatt, Samir ; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha ; Boyd, Olivia ; Brazeau, Nicholas F ; Cattarino, Lorenzo ; Cooper, Laura V ; Coupland, Helen ; Cucunuba, Zulma ; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina ; Djaafara, Bimandra ; Dorigatti, Ilaria ; van Elsland, Sabine ; FitzJohn, Richard ; Fu, Han ; Gaythorpe, Katy A M ; Green, Will ; Hallett, Timothy ; Hamlet, Arran ; Haw, David ; Hayes, Sarah ; Hinsley, Wes ; Jeffrey, Benjamin ; Knock, Edward ; Laydon, Daniel J ; Lees, John ; Mangal, Tara D ; Mellan, Thomas ; Mishra, Swapnil ; Mousa, Andria ; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma ; Nouvellet, Pierre ; Okell, Lucy ; Parag, Kris V ; Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon ; Riley, Steven ; Unwin, H Juliette T ; Verity, Robert ; Vollmer, Michaela ; Volz, Erik ; Walker, Patrick G T ; Walters, Caroline ; Wang, Haowei ; Wang, Yuanrong ; Watson, Oliver J ; Whittaker, Charles ; Whittles, Lilith K ; Winskill, Peter ; Xi, Xiaoyue ; Donnelly, Christl A ; Ferguson, Neil M
Publisher:England: Oxford University Press
Journal title:Journal of travel medicine, 2020-12, Vol.27 (8)
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Select record 30
ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
Author / Creator:Flaxman, Seth ; Mishra, Swapnil ; Gandy, Axel ; Unwin, H. Juliette T. ; Mellan, Thomas A. ; Coupland, Helen ; Whittaker, Charles ; Zhu, Harrison ; Berah, Tresnia ; Eaton, Jeffrey W. ; Monod, Mélodie ; Ghani, Azra C. ; Donnelly, Christl A. ; Riley, Steven ; Vollmer, Michaela A. C. ; Ferguson, Neil M. ; Okell, Lucy C. ; Bhatt, Samir
Publisher:London: Nature Publishing Group UK
Journal title:Nature (London), 2020-08, Vol.584 (7820), p.257-261
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission
Author / Creator:Nouvellet, Pierre ; Bhatia, Sangeeta ; Cori, Anne ; Ainslie, Kylie E. C. ; Baguelin, Marc ; Bhatt, Samir ; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha ; Brazeau, Nicholas F. ; Cattarino, Lorenzo ; Cooper, Laura V. ; Coupland, Helen ; Cucunuba, Zulma M. ; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina ; Dighe, Amy ; Djaafara, Bimandra A. ; Dorigatti, Ilaria ; Eales, Oliver D. ; van Elsland, Sabine L. ; Nascimento, Fabricia F. ; FitzJohn, Richard G. ; Gaythorpe, Katy A. M. ; Geidelberg, Lily ; Green, William D. ; Hamlet, Arran ; Hauck, Katharina ; Hinsley, Wes ; Imai, Natsuko ; Jeffrey, Benjamin ; Knock, Edward ; Laydon, Daniel J. ; Lees, John A. ; Mangal, Tara ; Mellan, Thomas A. ; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma ; Parag, Kris V. ; Pons-Salort, Margarita ; Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon ; Riley, Steven ; Unwin, H. Juliette T. ; Verity, Robert ; Vollmer, Michaela A. C. ; Volz, Erik ; Walker, Patrick G. T. ; Walters, Caroline E. ; Wang, Haowei ; Watson, Oliver J. ; Whittaker, Charles ; Whittles, Lilith K. ; Xi, Xiaoyue ; Ferguson, Neil M. ; Donnelly, Christl A.
Publisher:London: Nature Publishing Group UK
Journal title:Nature communications, 2021-02, Vol.12 (1), p.1090-1090, Article 1090
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ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Jointly Inferring the Dynamics of Population Size and Sampling Intensity from Molecular Sequences
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V ; Louis du Plessis ; Pybus, Oliver G
Publisher:Oxford: Oxford University Press
Journal title:Molecular biology and evolution, 2020-08, Vol.37 (8), p.2414-2429
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Select record 33
ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States
Author / Creator:Unwin, H. Juliette T. ; Mishra, Swapnil ; Bradley, Valerie C. ; Gandy, Axel ; Mellan, Thomas A. ; Coupland, Helen ; Ish-Horowicz, Jonathan ; Vollmer, Michaela A. C. ; Whittaker, Charles ; Filippi, Sarah L. ; Xi, Xiaoyue ; Monod, Mélodie ; Ratmann, Oliver ; Hutchinson, Michael ; Valka, Fabian ; Zhu, Harrison ; Hawryluk, Iwona ; Milton, Philip ; Ainslie, Kylie E. C. ; Baguelin, Marc ; Boonyasiri, Adhiratha ; Brazeau, Nick F. ; Cattarino, Lorenzo ; Cucunuba, Zulma ; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina ; Dorigatti, Ilaria ; Eales, Oliver D. ; Eaton, Jeffrey W. ; van Elsland, Sabine L. ; FitzJohn, Richard G. ; Gaythorpe, Katy A. M. ; Green, William ; Hinsley, Wes ; Jeffrey, Benjamin ; Knock, Edward ; Laydon, Daniel J. ; Lees, John ; Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma ; Nouvellet, Pierre ; Okell, Lucy ; Parag, Kris V. ; Siveroni, Igor ; Thompson, Hayley A. ; Walker, Patrick ; Walters, Caroline E. ; Watson, Oliver J. ; Whittles, Lilith K. ; Ghani, Azra C. ; Ferguson, Neil M. ; Riley, Steven ; Donnelly, Christl A. ; Bhatt, Samir ; Flaxman, Seth
Publisher:London: Nature Publishing Group UK
Journal title:Nature communications, 2020-12, Vol.11 (1), p.6189-6189, Article 6189
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Select record 34
ArticlesFull Text
A computationally tractable birth-death model that combines phylogenetic and epidemiological data
Author / Creator:Zarebski, Alexander E ; Louis Du Plessis ; Parag, Kris V ; Pybus, Oliver G
Publisher:Cold Spring Harbor: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press
Journal title:bioRxiv, 2021-06
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ArticlesFull Text
Seasonal dynamics of the wild rodent faecal virome
Author / Creator:Raghwani, Jayna ; Faust, Christina L ; Francois, Sarah ; Nguyen, Dung ; Marsh, Kirsty ; Raulo, Aura ; Hill, Sarah C ; Parag, Kris V ; Simmonds, Peter ; Knowles, Sarah C L ; Pybus, Oliver G
Publisher:Cold Spring Harbor: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press
Journal title:bioRxiv, 2022-02
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Select record 36
ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Comparative micro-epidemiology of pathogenic avian influenza virus outbreaks in a wild bird population
Author / Creator:Hill, Sarah C. ; Hansen, Rowena ; Watson, Samantha ; Coward, Vivien ; Russell, Christine ; Cooper, Jayne ; Essen, Steve ; Everest, Holly ; Parag, Kris V. ; Fiddaman, Steven ; Reid, Scott ; Lewis, Nicola ; Brookes, Sharon M. ; Smith, Adrian L. ; Sheldon, Ben ; Perrins, Christopher M. ; Brown, Ian H. ; Pybus, Oliver G.
Publisher:Royal Society
Journal title:Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B. Biological sciences, 2019-06, Vol.374 (1775), p.1-11
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Select record 37
ReportsFull Text
Risk averse reproduction numbers improve resurgence detection
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V ; Obolski, Uri
Publisher:Public Library of Science
Journal title:PLoS Computational Biology, 2023, Vol.19 (7), p.e1011332
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ReportsFull Text
Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V
Publisher:Public Library of Science
Journal title:PLoS Computational Biology, 2021, Vol.17 (9)
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Select record 39
ArticlesPeer ReviewedFull Text
Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo
Author / Creator:Lavezzo, Enrico ; Franchin, Elisa ; Ciavarella, Constanze ; Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina ; Barzon, Luisa ; Del Vecchio, Claudia ; Rossi, Lucia ; Manganelli, Riccardo ; Loregian, Arianna ; Navarin, Nicolò ; Abate, Davide ; Sciro, Manuela ; Merigliano, Stefano ; De Canale, Ettore ; Vanuzzo, Maria Cristina ; Besutti, Valeria ; Saluzzo, Francesca ; Onelia, Francesco ; Pacenti, Monia ; Parisi, Saverio G. ; Carretta, Giovanni ; Donato, Daniele ; Flor, Luciano ; Cocchio, Silvia ; Masi, Giulia ; Sperduti, Alessandro ; Cattarino, Lorenzo ; Salvador, Renato ; Nicoletti, Michele ; Caldart, Federico ; Castelli, Gioele ; Nieddu, Eleonora ; Labella, Beatrice ; Fava, Ludovico ; Drigo, Matteo ; Gaythorpe, Katy A. M. ; Brazzale, Alessandra R. ; Toppo, Stefano ; Trevisan, Marta ; Baldo, Vincenzo ; Donnelly, Christl A. ; Ferguson, Neil M. ; Dorigatti, Ilaria ; Crisanti, Andrea
Publisher:London: Nature Publishing Group UK
Journal title:Nature (London), 2020-08, Vol.584 (7821), p.425-429
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Select record 40
ReportsFull Text
Fundamental limits on inferring epidemic resurgence in real time using effective reproduction numbers
Author / Creator:Parag, Kris V ; Donnelly, Christl A
Publisher:Public Library of Science
Journal title:PLoS Computational Biology, 2022, Vol.18 (4)
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How to Measure the Controllability of an Infectious Disease?

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Adaptive Estimation for Epidemic Renewal and Phylogenetic Skyline Models

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Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?

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Robust Design for Coalescent Model Inference

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Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies

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Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil

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Authors’ reply to the discussion of ‘Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?’ by Parag et al. in Session 1 of the Royal Statistical Society’s Special Topic Meeting on COV...

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Comparative micro-epidemiology of pathogenic avian influenza virus outbreaks in a wild bird population

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SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China

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Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

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Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission

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Jointly Inferring the Dynamics of Population Size and Sampling Intensity from Molecular Sequences

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State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States

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A computationally tractable birth-death model that combines phylogenetic and epidemiological data

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Seasonal dynamics of the wild rodent faecal virome

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Comparative micro-epidemiology of pathogenic avian influenza virus outbreaks in a wild bird population

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Risk averse reproduction numbers improve resurgence detection

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Improved estimation of time-varying reproduction numbers at low case incidence and between epidemic waves

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Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo

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Fundamental limits on inferring epidemic resurgence in real time using effective reproduction numbers

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