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Predicting short-term interest rates [electronic resource] : does Bayesian model averaging provide f...

Predicting short-term interest rates [electronic resour...

Predicting short-term interest rates [electronic resource] : does Bayesian model averaging provide f...

https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/74VvK0BaEvAM

Predicting short-term interest rates [electronic resource] : does Bayesian model averaging provide forecast improvement? / Chew Lian Chua, Sandy Suardi and Sarantis Tsiaplias.

About this item

Full title

Predicting short-term interest rates [electronic resource] : does Bayesian model averaging provide forecast improvement? / Chew Lian Chua, Sandy Suardi and Sarantis Tsiaplias.

Author / Creator

Publisher

[Parkville, Vic.] : Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, University of Melbourne, 2011.

Date

2011.

Record Identifier

74VvK0BaEvAM

MMS ID

991007945519702626

Language

English

Formats

Physical Description

Physical content

38 p.

Publication information

Publisher

[Parkville, Vic.] : Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, University of Melbourne, 2011.

Place of Publication

Victoria

Date Published

2011.

More information

Scope and Contents

Summary

This paper examines the forecasting qualities of Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) over a set of single factor models of short-term interest rates. Using weekly and high frequency data for the one-month Eurodollar rate, BMA produces predictive likelihoods that are considerably better than the majority of the short-rate models, but marginally worse of...

Alternative Titles

Full title

Predicting short-term interest rates [electronic resource] : does Bayesian model averaging provide forecast improvement? / Chew Lian Chua, Sandy Suardi and Sarantis Tsiaplias.

Notes

General note

Melbourne Institute working paper series, 1447-5863 ; no. 1/11.

Melbourne Institute working paper, 1447-5863 ; no. 1/11.

Title from title screen (viewed on August 29, 2011)

"January 2011".

Includes bibliographical references (p. 29-32)

Additional physical form availability note

Also available in a print version.

System details note

Mode of access: Internet via the World Wide Web. Address as at 29/08/2011: http://www.melbourneinstitute.com/downloads/working_paper_series/wp2011n01.pdf.

System requirements: Adobe Acrobat reader to read pdf file.

Contextual Information

Other version (online)

Identifiers

Primary Identifiers

Record Identifier

74VvK0BaEvAM

Permalink

https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/74VvK0BaEvAM

Other Identifiers

ISBN

9780734042323

DDC

519.542

MMS ID

991007945519702626

How to access this item