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Branching stochastic processes as models of Covid-19 epidemic development

Branching stochastic processes as models of Covid-19 epidemic development

https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2397154476

Branching stochastic processes as models of Covid-19 epidemic development

About this item

Full title

Branching stochastic processes as models of Covid-19 epidemic development

Publisher

Ithaca: Cornell University Library, arXiv.org

Journal title

arXiv.org, 2020-05

Language

English

Formats

Publication information

Publisher

Ithaca: Cornell University Library, arXiv.org

More information

Scope and Contents

Contents

The aim of the paper is to describe two models of Covid-19 infection dynamics. For this purpose a special class of branching processes with two types of individuals is considered. These models are intended to use only the observed daily statistics to estimate the main parameter of the infection and to give a prediction of the mean value of the non-observed population of the infected individuals. Similar problems are considered also in the case when the processes admit an immigration component. This is a serious advantage in comparison with other more complicated models where the officially reported data are not sufficient for estimation of the model parameters. In this way the specific development of the Covid-19 epidemics is considered also for all countries as it is given in the specially created site http://ir-statistics.net/covid-19 where the obtained results are updated daily....

Alternative Titles

Full title

Branching stochastic processes as models of Covid-19 epidemic development

Authors, Artists and Contributors

Identifiers

Primary Identifiers

Record Identifier

TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2397154476

Permalink

https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2397154476

Other Identifiers

E-ISSN

2331-8422

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