The turning point and end of an expanding epidemic cannot be precisely forecast
The turning point and end of an expanding epidemic cannot be precisely forecast
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United States: National Academy of Sciences
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Language
English
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Publisher
United States: National Academy of Sciences
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Scope and Contents
Contents
Epidemic spread is characterized by exponentially growing dynamics, which are intrinsically unpredictable. The time at which the growth in the number of infected individuals halts and starts decreasing cannot be calculated with certainty before the turning point is actually attained; neither can the end of the epidemic after the turning point. A su...
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Full title
The turning point and end of an expanding epidemic cannot be precisely forecast
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TN_cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_7585017
Permalink
https://devfeature-collection.sl.nsw.gov.au/record/TN_cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_7585017
Other Identifiers
ISSN
0027-8424,1091-6490
E-ISSN
1091-6490
DOI
10.1073/pnas.2007868117
